Insights for designing mitigation elements in the next round of Nationally Determined
Contributions (NDCs)
The Paris Agreement is underpinned by Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) in
which Parties set out how they plan to support the Agreement’s long-term temperature
goal. Parties are to submit their next NDCs by early 2025, informed by the first global
stocktake (GST1). The GST1 sets out key signals and a series of mitigation focused
calls in line with 1.5°C pathways that can guide the next generation of NDCs. This
paper explores how Parties can prepare enhanced NDCs that take forward GST1 outcomes
on mitigation and relevant provisions on NDCs, building on lessons learned from successive
NDCs and available follow-up opportunities to support this process. Insights from
experiences highlight the interlinkages between enhancing NDC ambition and implementation.
Ambitious NDCs underpinned by robust implementation plans and accompanying investment
plans can ensure NDCs are action oriented, implementation ready and investable. At
the same time, adopting whole-of-government, whole-of-society approaches to NDCs can
foster a sense of national ownership and increase social acceptance, leading to more
ambitious NDCs and support subsequent implementation. The paper also explores potential
guidance that could be relevant for negotiations on NDC features in 2024. While recognising
the nationally determined character of NDCs, Parties could use these negotiations
to provide clarity on new issues that have emerged since the Paris Agreement was adopted
and on existing elements that could benefit from clarification. When addressing negotiations
on NDC features, Parties may also want to consider a longer-term perspective beyond
the next NDCs and links with other relevant negotiation processes on reporting and
transparency.
Published on May 27, 2024
In series:OECD/IEA Climate Change Expert Group Papersview more titles