Leading indicators and tendency surveys
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Understanding Composite Leading Indicators (CLI)
Watch our short video explaining how CLIs are compiled.
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CLI: Why does the trend restored CLI lag behind?
CLI FAQs, question 7: The reference series used by the OECD is the GDP. The timeliness of the GDP is typically worse than those of CLI input series as GDP is only available on a quarterly basis.
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CLI: Reference turning points and component series
Consult the chronology of turning points in the reference series for regional/zone area aggregates and individual countries and the list of components series for each individual country CLI.
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What's new
CLIs increase at a steady pace in most major economies |
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11 May 2021 - The OECD Composite leading indicators (CLIs), designed to anticipate turning points in economic activity relative to trend, point to a steady expansion in the OECD area as a whole and in most major economies.
Among large OECD economies outside Europe, the CLIs for the United States, Japan and Canada continue to expand at a steady pace. In Europe, the CLIs for the euro area as a whole, including Germany and Italy continue to point to a steady increase, but in the United Kingdom and France, the CLIs anticipate stable growth. |
The OECD Consumer Barometer |
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03 May 2021 - In a continuation of the March trend, given the data available (mostly European at this time), the OECD Consumer Barometer signals a positive trend in consumer confidence in April.
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Behind the numbers |
Statistical references
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Further analysis |