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  • 6-September-2023

    English

    Nowcasting trade in value added indicators

    Trade in value added (TiVA) indicators are increasingly used to monitor countries’ integration into global supply chains. However, they are published with a significant lag - often two or three years - which reduces their relevance for monitoring recent economic developments. This paper aims to provide more timely insights into the international fragmentation of production by exploring new ways of nowcasting five TiVA indicators for the years 2021 and 2022 covering a panel of 41 economies at the economy-wide level and for 24 industry sectors. The analysis relies on a range of models, including Gradient boosted trees (GBM), and other machine-learning techniques, in a panel setting, uses a wide range of explanatory variables capturing domestic business cycles and global economic developments and corrects for publication lags to produce nowcasts in quasi-real time conditions. Resulting nowcasting algorithms significantly improve compared to the benchmark model and exhibit relatively low prediction errors at a one- and two-year horizon, although model performance varies across countries and sectors.

  • 5-septembre-2023

    Français

    Prix à la consommation de l'OCDE - Mise à jour : 5 septembre 2023

    L’inflation totale augmente légèrement pour atteindre 5.9 % en juillet 2023 malgré une baisse dans la plupart des pays de la zone OCDE

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  • 5-septembre-2023

    Français

    Principaux indicateurs économiques de l'OCDE (PIE)

    La publication PIE fournit des statistiques comparatives donnant un aperçu des développements économiques récents par le biais d'une large variété d'indicateurs économiques à court terme.

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  • 28-août-2023

    Français

    Croissance du PIB - deuxième trimestre 2023, OCDE

    La croissance du PIB de l’OCDE ralentit légèrement au deuxième trimestre 2023

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  • 24-août-2023

    Français

    Statistiques de l'OCDE sur le commerce international : tendances au deuxième trimestre 2023

    Le commerce de marchandises du G20 a diminué au T2 2023, et le commerce de services semble avoir ralenti

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  • 21-August-2023

    English

    Social Insurance Pension Schemes, database

    The 2008 SNA introduced a table on social insurance pension schemes (2008 SNA, Table 17.10) to provide a comprehensive overview of liabilities of all social insurance pension schemes in an economy. The OECD table on social insurance pension schemes reflects this new table. In addition to reflecting the pension liabilities of all social insurance pension schemes in an economy...

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  • 10-août-2023

    Français

    Croissance et bien-être économique : premier trimestre 2023, OCDE

    Le revenu réel des ménages augmente à nouveau dans l'OCDE, mais le tableau est contrasté

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  • 3-août-2023

    Français

    Prix à la consommation de l'OCDE - Mise à jour : 3 août 2023

    L’inflation totale dans la zone OCDE continue sa baisse rapide en juin 2023, pour s’établir à 5.7 %

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  • 1-August-2023

    English

    Statistical manuals and guidelines by topic

    Statistical manuals and guidelines by topic

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  • 28-July-2023

    English

    Handbook on Measuring Digital Trade, Second Edition

    The Handbook on Measuring Digital Trade sets out a conceptual and measurement framework for digital trade which aligns with the broader standards for macro-economic statistics. It aims to help statistical compilers to address policymakers’ needs for statistical evidence on digital trade. It includes extensive compilation guidance, drawing upon substantive inputs and case studies from both developed and developing economies and covering a variety of survey and non-survey sources. A reporting template is also proposed to support compilers in the production and dissemination of digital trade statistics.
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